When was the current long-range forecast system implemented? | December 1st, 2021 |
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Is it a coupled forecast system? | Yes |
Is it a Tier-2 forecast system? | No |
Atmospheric model resolution |
CanAM4: T63L35 GEM-NEMO model: 1.0 deg (on a Yin-Yang grid) |
Ocean model (if applicable) |
CanOM4: 1.40 x 0.94 deg, L40 GEM-NEMO model: NEMO/ORCA1, 1 deg nominal horizontal resolution (1/3 deg in longitude near Equator) 50 levels |
Source of atmospheric initial conditions | The CMC Global 4D-var analysis is assimilated. |
Source of ocean initial conditions | CMC SST and sea-ice analysis at the surface and CMC GIOPS 3D ocean analysis below the surface. |
If Tier-2, what is the source of SST predictions? | N/A |
Hindcast period | 1991-2020 |
Ensemble size for the hindcasts | 10 GEM-NEMO members + 10 CanCM4i members |
How is the hindcast ensemble configured? | For each month of the hindcast, a 12-month forecast is produced. There is no lagged initial conditions, all the 20 members start on the first of the month. |
Ensemble size for the forecast | 20 members, 10 for each model |
How is the forecast ensemble configured? | Every month, a 12-month forecast is produced. There is no lagged initial conditions, all the 20 members start on the first of the month. |
Length of forecasts | 12 months |
Data format |
GRIB2 data described and linked to at http://weather.gc.ca/grib/grib2_cansips_e.html |
What is the latest date predicted anomalies for the next month/season become available? | The forecasts will be available every first day of the month. |
How are the forecast anomalies constructed? | By subtracting the ensemble forecast mean from the hindcast mean. |
URL where forecast are displayed |
https://eccc-msc.github.io/ |
Point of Contact | Dr. Marko Markovic (marko.markovic@canada.ca) |