| When was the current long-range forecast system implemented? | October 2021 (applied in November 2021 on WMOLC) |
|---|---|
| Is it a coupled forecast system? | Yes |
| Is it a Tier-2 forecast system? | No |
| Atmospheric model resolution | N216 ~ 60km horizonal and 85 vertical levels |
| Ocean model (if applicable) | 25km horizonal and 75 vertical levels |
| Source of atmospheric initial conditions | Data assimilation |
| Source of ocean initial conditions | Data assimilation |
| If Tier-2, what is the source of SST predictions? | N/A |
| Hindcast period | 1981-2018 |
| Ensemble size for the hindcasts | 3 members for each restart time for the hindcast |
| How is the hindcast ensemble configured? | Perturbed members |
| Ensemble size for the forecast | 11 members for seasonal forecasts in real time |
| How is the forecast ensemble configured? | 10 perturbed members and one central member to the atmospheric model |
| Length of forecasts | 6 full months |
| Data format | netCDF |
| What is the latest date predicted anomalies for the next month/season become available? | Two days after the beginning of each month |
| How are the forecast anomalies constructed? | Based on hindcast climatology |
| URL where forecast are displayed | https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/pacific/outlooks |
| Point of Contact |
Aihong Zhong (aihong.zhong@bom.gov.au) Shuhua Li (shuhua.li@bom.gov.au) |
